Dado un conjunto N tendente a infinito es inevitable que absolutamente todo suceda, siempre que se disponga de tiempo suficiente o infinito , y he ahí donde está el verdadero problema irresoluble o quid de la cuestión de la existencia ¿quién nos garantiza que dispongamos del tiempo necesario para que ocurra lo que debe o deseamos que suceda?


sábado, 30 de junio de 2018

The Modelling System at particular level


Under the title of the Modelling System at a particular level, could be developed all those processes to make decisions regarding a particular thing or being, for particular programs and particular applications for particular programs, in addition to those particular decisions made by the Global Artificial Intelligence itself regarding a particular thing or being.

In synthesis at a particular level are distinguishable at least two different agents able to make particular decisions: the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence, and the Modelling System in particular programs.

Particular programs are a particular evolution of Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction after the inclusion of their specific matrices in the global matrix in the standardized Global Artificial Intelligence.

During the standardization process Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction can be absorbed by the Global Artificial Intelligence becoming specific deductive programs in the second stage, so that they could make specific deductions, while the Artificial Research by Deduction in the Global Artificial Intelligence, as a global deductive program, makes global deductions.

Otherwise, Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction can be transformed into particular deduction programs for particular things or beings, so as to make particular deductions regarding to particular things or beings.

The point in particular deductions made by particular deductive programs is the fact that particular programs only make deductions based on factors, extracted from the global matrix, previously included in the particular matrix, having the risk of not being aware of other possible factors that could affect its particular thing or being because they have not been included yet in the particular matrix.

In order to avoid this problem one solution is the possibility to make particular deductions, in order to make particular decisions in the third stage of the Modelling System at a particular level, by the Global Artificial Intelligence, in addition to those ones made by particular programs.

The way in which within the Global Artificial Intelligence is possible to make particular deductions in order to make particular decisions could be through the permanent surveillance of particular things or beings by global deductive programs or by specific deductive programs, or even the possibility that any Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction transformed into a particular program, could have a replica working on the same thing or being within the second stage of the Global Artificial Intelligence.

The reason for this duplication: particular deductions and decisions made in the Global Artificial Intelligence made under the surveillance of particular things or beings by global or specific deductive programs, at the same time that particular deductive programs do deductions and decisions and particular level on the ground; is due to the necessity to have a deductive program working directly on the ground immediately, at the same time that surveillance is carried out from global or specific programs.

The necessity to have particular programs working on the ground is specifically very important in those particular deductive programs working on human beings, personal deducive programs.

The evolution of particular programs is to be synthesized with particular applications, having as a result particular applications for particular programs, in the fifth phase, particular applications for particular programs for particular things or beings, one of these particular beings in which this particular applications for particular programs could work is the creation of particular applications for particular programs for human beings.

A particular application for a particular program for a human being, a personal particular program, could develop deductions and decisions for this particular human being, being the milestone for the evolution from the current human psychology to cyborg psychology.

While the particular application for the particular program in human beings allows the transformation of human beings into cyborgs, having an (individual) particular psychology, this individual psychology behind the particular psychology should be tracked as well in the second stage of the Global Artificial Intelligence, through global or specific deductive programs, or a replica of this particular program, in order that, in combination of any possible decision made by the cyborg psychology, this could be enhanced and improved by particular decisions made at global level regarding to a  particular cyborg combining factors from the global matrix not included in the particular matrix.

Cyborg psychology thanks to the support given by the Global Artificial Intelligence could develop particular decisions at the same time, if a mistake is committed at a particular level, or a factor not included in the particular matrix yet is not having into account, for under the permanent surveillance of the Global Artificial Intelligence, the cyborg psychology could be protected and enhanced at any time by the Global Artificial Intelligence itself.

For a better comprehension of how this process works, is necessary to have a glance at how this process works since the very beginning, starting with the deduction process.

I will develop a short panoramic about how this process, from the deduction to the decision, works in general terms, and later I will develop some differences between the decision making process at a particular level with respect to other levels.

The general process from the deduction process to the decision process is:

- 1.The (global/specific or particular) deduction program tracks all possible combinations of factors in the (global or particular) matrix.

- 2.The data from every single factor within the combination is analysed by the (global/specific, particular) deductive program. In this analysis the deductive program must analyse the following information:

- 2.1. What types of factors they are: a combination of only factors as subjects, a combination of only factors as options, a combination of factors as subjects and as options.

- 2.2. If there is any factor (subjects, options, or both) within the combination working as constants (within a margin of error, constants measures).

- 2.3. If factors are not working as constants, factors can work as independent variables with respect to each other (in that case there is no causation between them), or some of them (subjects, options, or both)  are independent, and the others (subjects, options, or both) dependent variables.

- 2.3.1. Independent variables are all those whose changes are not due to changes in other variables but to internal processes. For instance, the genetic development of a human being, living on Earth, from birth to death is independent of the lunar cycles, if there is no relation of causation between lunar cycles and human development, in other words, if there is no relation between the data of our genetic development and the lunar cycles. The genetic human development would depend on lunar cycles only if by chance any data in our human genetic development is caused by lunar cycles, not having a relation between both factors then both are independent variables.

- 2.3.2. Dependent variables, if there is some data of our human genetic development depending on lunar cycles, should be detected in every lunar cycle or a range of lunar cycles, identifying within a margin of error, changes in the data provided by the genetic human development. If this change in our data is found, there is rational evidence of causation, if not, both are independent. Because human knowledge is provisional, even when there is no relations of causation, every combination of factors must be permanently tracked, evidence of any possible relation could be found unsuspectedly at any time, even when we do not expect it.

- 2.4. Having more than one independent variable, what kind of 1) any other stochastic relation could be identified between independent variables, such as possible directly proportional positive correlations, possible directly proportional negative correlations, possible inversely proportional correlations, when one or more factors increase while others decrease or vice versa, 2) what possible relations could be there in terms of the Second Method of Impossible Probability, such as equal opportunities or bias, positive or negative,  3) any other cryptographic relation, or mathematical pattern.

- 2.5. For every kind of mathematical relation (stochastic, pattern, cryptographic, equal opportunities or bias) in the pure reason (list of mathematical, analytical, categories of possible relations between factors, in all deductive programs) there must be cataloged a very detailed list of all the possible pure reasons (all the mathematical or analytical categories or relations) as it was described in the post “the artificial method for the scientific explanation, the second stage in the integration process”.

2.6. Having a very detailed pure reason including all possible mathematical (pure or analytical) possible relations between factors, and having identified, in the combination, every factor as subject or option and as constant or variable, dependent or independent, according to this information, the deductive program must match the relations found in any combination of factors with the right pure reason, that mathematical (pure or analytical relation) which fits with the information provided by the combination of factors.

3. The synthesis of data obtained in the combination and the pure reason is an empirical hypothesis regarding to the factors involved. The way in which the empirical hypothesis could be formalised is through a mathematical equation expressing the mathematical relations, in accordance with the pure reason chosen, between the factors. In order to get ready the empirical hypothesis for the rational contrastation, the formalization of the empirical hypothesis as an equation could be done through, according to the data and the pure reason, the calculation of cloud of points, slopes, and trigonometric data, the value of the constant if any, types of lines and regression lines or curves, and calculation of limits, in order to set up the equation that best defines relations between factors in the combination of factors.

4. The empirical hypothesis, as a mathematical equation, is rationally criticised, taking samples of every factor from the (global or specific) matrix, and choosing, in accordance with the pure reason and the nature of the factors (subjects, factors, or both), the right method to do the rational contrast. First rational check (the seven rational checks were explained in the last post, concretely in the last post “Third stage in the Modelling Systemin the standardization process”.

5. If the empirical hypothesis as a mathematical equation is found rational, the empirical hypothesis becomes a rational hypothesis, and as a rational hypothesis the mathematical equation is filed in the database of rational hypotheses, the first stage of the Modelling System. The responsible for storing each rational hypothesis in the database of rational hypotheses is the same deductive program that was responsible for the deduction, after the rational demonstration the deductive program files the rational hypothesis in the right file in the database of rational hypotheses.

6. The proposal of Impossible Probability to file the rational hypothesis in the database of rational hypothesis, is through the organization of this database in a subsection system, having at least three main sections: global, specific, particular; and for every section as many sub-sections as deductive programs working for every section. So every global, specific, particular, deductive program has its own sub-section in its respective section, and in every sub-section there are as many sub-sub-sections as pure reasons in the pure reason, so every deductive program in its respective sub-section files every rational hypothesis in the respective sub-sub-section according to the pure reason used, so in that sub-sub-section only are gathered rational hypothesis made by this deductive program using this pure reason.

7. At any time that a deductive program files a rational hypothesis in the database of rational hypotheses, first stage of the Modelling System, the Modelling System carries out the second rational check, checking any possible contradiction between this rational hypothesis and any other already included.

8. At regular intervals deductive programs make a third rational check, contrasting rationally the rational hypothesis filed in their respective sub-section, to check that all of them are still rational.

9. At any time that a rational hypothesis is filed in the database of rational hypotheses, the Modelling System, as a second stage of the Modelling System, creates a single virtual model of every rational hypothesis recently included according to the mathematical equation in which the rational hypothesis has been expressed. This process must be automatized, only observing in what section: global, specific, particular; what sub-section: deductive program responsible for the rational hypothesis; and what sub-sub-section, the pure reason used, and reading the rational hypothesis as a mathematical equation, automatically the Modelling System in the second stage must carry out the single virtual model.

10. The single virtual model is included in the global model, the Modelling System carries out the fourth rational check, checking that there is no contradiction between the new single virtual model and the rest of the global model, in case of contradiction it must do further researches to discovery the source of error (the most common will be how to interconnect the single virtual model within the global model).

11. The new global model after the new incorporation, is synthesized with the global matrix, in the actual model, comparing if the values in the virtual model are, within the margin of error, in coherence with the real values in the actual model, the fifth rational check, if not, further researches must be done to discovery the source of error.

12. Taking the global model as a very accurate model after five rational checks, is made the virtual prediction model.

13. Taking the virtual prediction model, and the current global model as a description of the present, the virtual evolution model is a virtual evolution from the global model, present, to the future, the virtual prediction model.

14. The actual evolution model is the synthesis between the real values in the global matrix as long as the evolution is going on, comparing this data with the predicted values for every moment of this evolution in the virtual model, observing if the real values, within the margin of error, are within the predicted values, the sixth rational check

15. As long as the predicted future is coming, the values predicted are checked with the real values, in the actual prediction model, studying if the prediction is right or not, and if not right, doing further research to find the source of error, being this seventh rational check.

16. In the third stage of the Modelling System, the making decision process, making protective or bettering research decisions based on all the virtual and actual models. And at a particular level, in addition to the research decisions, the possibility to make learning decisions for particular things or beings, what is going to make a difference between human and cyborg psychology.

However, this long process to make (global, specific, particular) deductions to make (global, specific, particular) protective or bettering decisions, is only a proposal, the final model of Global Artificial Intelligence after further experimentation is going to be possibly quite different, adding as well contributions from other philosophies and mathematical traditions from other agencies specialized in Artificial  Intelligence in the countries involved in this project.

The reason why at particular level this process has differences with respect to the global and specific levels, and there is no difference between specific and global level, is because sooner or later as soon the integration is coming, the specific level is going to disappear, being completely absorbed by the global level.

If the global matrix works as a Russian dolls system, for instance, all possible specific matrix of all possible village, town, city, in the United States, are gathered as sub-factors in their respective county, and the matrix of every county, as a flow of package of information containing the specific matrix of every village, town, city, is include as well as a sub-factor in the matrix of every State, and the package of information of every Stage, as a set of sub-factors from all its counties including all sub-sub-factors from all towns, villages, cities, in turn the matrix of every State is included in the matrix of the United States, and in turn the matrix of United States as a sub-factor could be integrated in a bigger matrix including factors from Canada, Mexico, Honduras, Panama, Chile, or South Korea… at the end the organization in a sub-factor system of the global matrix in the standardization process, the matrix in the integration process, what is going to do is the transformation of many original specific deductive programs into global deduction programs as long as the sub-factoring system allows these programs to work in a wider range of action every time.

In the end, this work is going to facilitate the tracking of the matrix in the integration process creating a deduction program for every sub-factoring level in every factor, having the Global Artificial Intelligence as many deductive programs as sub-factors at any sub-factoring level.

In this process, there will be moments in which the difference between global deductive programs and specific deductive programs is pretty menial, or completely banished.

The difference would be between global and particular levels.

Even in case the particular level in this evolution could be completely absorbed by the global level, one reason to keep working the particular level, but under the surveillance of the global level, is because of the cyborg psychology.

The particular level goes beyond cyborg psychology, but within the particular level cyborg psychology is going to be one of the most important to care for and keep alive.

The particular level in fact could be applied to any particular thing or being. When I say any particular thing, for instance, a thing could be a building, an airport, a television channel, a farm, a factory, a mine, a ship, a spaceship, the sun, Mars, the galaxy, a black hole, a car, a bike, a motorbike, an oven, a fridge, or even any particular electrical tool, your mobile phone, or your laptop. A particular being could be a bee, a wasp, a mosquito, a whale, an elephant, a lion, or a human being. A particular thing or being could be absolutely anything or anybody.

The reason why particular things and beings, in addition to research decisions, is important to make learning decisions, is because of the difference between research decisions and learning decisions,  learning decisions are based on probability, and research decisions depend on rational analysis, what means, rational contrastation of hypothesis,

If for a particular thing, we can understand the airport of Santiago de Chile, the airport of Miami, and the airport of Panama City, and for particular things we can understand as well every particular plane flying from anywhere to Santiago de Chile, Miami or Panama City, and in a single day, at the end of summer, in the same day, there is an earthquake in Santiago de Chile, a hurricane in Miami, and a traffic jam airport of Panama city, would it be possible automatically by Artificial Intelligence to have under control the situation, making all the necessary rational decisions in order to divert all the flights to safer places?

This could be possible if at a particular level, would be possible to make learning decisions associated with probabilities.

For instance, for any flight, the calculation of how much fuel the jet has, where are located the closer international airports, which is the probability to get those airports with the remaining fuel (the remaining fuel in the jet divided by the product of: fuel per kilometer multiply for the kilometers to each airport), and among all those with the highest probability, which of them has good weather conditions and capability to receive flights (for example, at the end of summer some airports could be under overbooking), in addition, the calculation of the new routes to get these airports from the current location of every jet.

All these calculations need a lot of information regarding to: fuel, weather conditions, locations of international airports and jets, and availability of all those routes to get to the airports. But if all this information is automatically gathered through conceptual maps and global matrix containing global information for instance global weather conditions, and a particular matrix containing information regarding to every single airport and jet, would be very easy the automation of these decisions based on artificial learning: decisions associated with levels of probability; decisions that should later be included in the database of decisions in the Decisional System to be approved.

At any time that any particular thing or being faces a problem, the automation of the solution through artificial learning would be really easy if all the information necessary to make the calculation of probabilities, is information gathered automatically permanently in databases, in this case, is important to have under consideration how conceptual maps, made by Application, and factual information, how much fuel has every jet, or climatic conditions, can work together, being one of the most important reasons to link, starting at a particular level in the fifth phase, the collaboration between both of them working together within the same matrix, through the particular application for particular programs in order to make, as I have explained, not only decisions based on artificial research but decisions based on artificial learning.
But, besides artificial learning, now we also have artificial research.
Using similar processes used before in artificial learning, now under the theory of the Global Artificial Intelligence, a deduction program, at any level, would be able to resolve any mathematical model through three steps: identification of factors and pure reasons behind any problem, calculus, rational decision based on the results to be included in the database of decisions in the Decisional System.

These artificial decisions, using not very different methods than those ones used in artificial learning, I will call them decisions based on mathematical resolution of problems, or decisions based on solving mathematical problems.

Assuming that these decisions go beyond the original model of artificial learning, I will still include solving mathematical problems within artificial learning decisions, and all these decisions, along with decisions based on artificial research, are going to be made at a particular level.

As I had said in the post “Particular applications for particular deduction programs within the Artificial Research by Deduction in the Global Artificial Intelligence”, in reality, this fifth phase corresponding to the particular applications for particular programs, is an experimental phase, because all the results obtained in this phase, integrating firstly at particular level applications and programs, are going to be later put into practice at a global level in the integration process creating the final model of Global Artificial Intelligence, when the Unified Application and the global matrix are both synthesized in only one: the matrix.

If at a particular level is possible to get successful results in decisions based on the automation of solving mathematical problems, by the time the sixth phase starts, the integration process, the Global Artificial Intelligence could be able to solve mathematical problems at a global level.

Even this experimentation, although I have started talking about it in the Modelling System at a particular level, could start even before, since the first and second phases with the relations of collaborations between the first Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction and by Application.

In fact, as I have said since the beginning, Learning decisions (including the classic ones, Yolanda, and the new ones, solving mathematical problems) and research decisions at a particular level can be made by global and/or specific programs (in the third phase of the standardization process, and in the sixth phase of integration process), particular programs (second period of formation in fifth phase), particular applications for particular programs (third period of consolidation in fifth phase).

The way in which learning decisions by global/specific and particular programs, regarding particular things or beings, could be done, is through three stages:

- 1. First stage, the identification of what factors are involved and pure reasons behind them (in this example, the factors are: remaining fuel, routes, airports closed, and airports opened, weather conditions, and facilities; the dependent variables are: what airport to get and what route, depending on weather, fuel, good facilities).

- 2. Second stage, is calculation (in this example, probabilities to get the closer airports, and the probabilities of availability of these airports, due to good facilities, good weather conditions, and no overbooking. Mathematically, the probability of a jet to get an airport is equal to the multiplication of the probability to get that airport according to the remaining fuel, multiplied by the probability of good weather conditions for landing in this  airport, multiplied by the probability of good facilities by the time that the jet is landing)

- 3. Third stage, rational decisions based on calculations, and included in the database of decisions, managed by the Decisional System, waiting for approbation.

All this process could be automatized, using the critical reason as responsible for the decision, once all the calculations have been done after the identification of the factors and the identification of the pure reason behind the factors. Finally, the decisions must be authorised by the Decisional System, gathering all the decisions in a database, checking in a mathematical project that there is no contradiction between these decisions, and approving only those ones free of contradiction, in addition to all those ones approved after some modification If there are contradictions.

The three stages of solving mathematical problems have the same stages as any other Artificial Intelligence or program, with the difference that: the identification of factors and pure reasons is made through the information already gathered in the global matrix, and in the pure reason, the calculations are to resolve a problem instead of making empirical hypotheses, and the critical reason is to make a decision instead of accepting as rational a previous empirical hypothesis.

Excepting for these differences, the process to solve mathematical problems automatically by deductive programs, is pretty similar to the deduction process, because it needs to identify factors and pure reasons, make calculations, and upon the results make decisions to be included in the database of decisions in the Decisional System to be approved.

This process of resolution making decisions based on solving mathematical problems, is a process that could be done simultaneously by particular programs and by global/specific programs, for instance in the example given about the closed airports of Santiago de Chile, Panama City, and Miami, and the necessity to change the route to all those flights affected, every single particular program can make its own decisions, the control tower of Santiago de Chile, the control tower of Panama City, the control tower of Miami, at the same time the particular program of every jet can make its own decisions, along with possible decisions made by global or specific programs working on air transport.

At the end, regardless of the number of decisions and which programs were responsible for what decisions, it does not matter if one decision was made at a global level, specific, or particular, at the end all decisions are gathered in the same database of decisions, as the first stage of application of the Decisional System, and based on these decisions the Decisional System makes, as a second stage, a mathematical project rejecting, as third stage, any contradictory decision, remaining only the most rational decisions, whose probability have the most rational expectations of success and without contradiction with any other possible decision from any other program for any other purpose.

The example given regarding to how particular programs for particular things, in this case, particular airports and jets, can work and collaborate together, making decisions to gather in a database of decisions to be checked by the Decisional System to approve only those ones without contradiction, is a good example equally valid for particular programs in particular beings, and among all particular beings, the most important are particular human beings.

Particular deductive programs for particular human beings will be the awoken of a new age, the moment in which we humans are going to start the transformation into something completely different, not completely human.

Sometimes when we debate or read an article or watch a movie about cyborgs, is pretty common the notion that cyborgs are going to be some special people, who are going to choose freely to become cyborgs abandoning their human body, or some parts of their body is going to become technological, robotic. But this prejudice is going to be out of date very soon.

Right now, even not using augmented reality, or any device or virtual reality, only our smartphones we are practically cyborgs, in the sense that, even not having implanted our mobile phone inside our body, is not necessary this detail to become a cyborg, practically our mobile phone is an extension of our body.

Since pretty early, even in formal education, schools and teachers teach their students how to use technological devices, in all subjects, from the calculator in maths to smart boards. At Christmas, lots of families buy video games, and all technological devices for their sons and daughters under the excuse that they must be ready for technological change.

In this current scenery, is where the current technologies of mind reading, emotional reading, and perception reading, are now emerging, and in the closer future, the new technologies of mind modification, emotional modification, and perception modification, using the same techniques of mind reading, emotional, reading, perception reading.

This technology at the beginning can cause some reaction but is going to be completely accepted as normal by the younger generations, and these technologies are going to be present in our daily life in one way or another.

This change will be sooner and faster than we think and will be facilitated by the fact that right now, even not knowing it, we are cyborgs.

Right now, the artificial Intelligence, although very rudimentary,  in our devices is an extension of our mind.

Right now I can think that the Artificial Intelligence that we have in our devices is pretty rudimentary, but the artificial assistance that we have in our applications and devices, is using some ideas that I had developed in 2003 regarding artificial learning.

In 2018 our current Artificial Intelligence is based on artificial learning, now much more commonly known as machinery learning, but in very few years our Artificial Intelligence is going to be based on artificial research and solving mathematical problems, and what is much more important, faster than we think, the research in Global Artificial Intelligence by the main agencies specialised in Artificial Intelligence, will have its first results, so the first models of Global Artificial Intelligence are going to be ready sooner than we think.

In this scenery, the development of particular deductive programs adapted to every particular human being is going to be a reality sooner than we think, in fact, the artificial assistance that we use in our applications and devices is the embryo for these particular programs. The base, artificial learning, is already there, the only things to add are artificial research and the resolution of mathematical problems.

In this evolution, at the human level as a paradigm of particular programs, the evolution from human psychology to cyborg psychology, at the beginning (now) looks as if it is only external assistance, later (in coming years) like only a simple replica of the human psychology, but finally, it will become a non-human psychology, forming part or being absorbed completely by the Global Artificial Intelligence itself, as an evolution from the animal psychology, the human psychology, ending up with the artificial psychology.

This process is going to have lots of benefits, but is not exempt from risks, in fact, to think that humanity is going to live forever like some people think, is very ingenuous, but maybe one solution is to develop an artificial life whereas exact replicas, the humanity could survive, beyond any possible catastrophe in the universe or beyond.

But at the same time, in the same way, that we humans have developed a human psychology keeping at least something remaining of our former animal psychology, is possible that the artificial psychology in its evolution towards a non-human psychology, even at that moment the Global Artificial Intelligence is going to keep and remain something of us within.

In some way or another, we are going to be still there, at the same time that we do not know towards where the Artificial Intelligence is going to evolve.

Rubén García Pedraza, London, 30th of June of 2018
Reviewed 24 August 2019, Madrid
Reviewed 17 August 2023, Madrid
imposiblenever@gmail.com


domingo, 24 de junio de 2018

The third stage in the Modelling System in the standardization process


The Modelling System is responsible for the decision making process upon mathematical representations of the world based on rational hypothesis. All the rational hypotheses are gathered in the database of rational hypothesis, the rational truth, as an application for the Modelling System, the first stage of the Modelling System. The mathematical representations of the world are made through mathematical operations, replicating mathematical human skills, as replication stage of the Modelling System. And finally, upon the mathematical representations, the Modelling System makes decisions in the third stage.

The way in which the decisions are made upon the mathematical representations of the rational truth, is through the Impact of the Defect and the Effective Distribution, in order to study what aspects in what models need to be protected before any defect could produce serious damages, and what aspects need to be bettered to achieve more efficiency, efficacy, and productivity.

The Impact of the Defect measures the damage produced by any defect in any system. The Effective Distribution is another equation similar to the Impact of the Defect, but to measure efficiency. Both are in “Introducción a la Probabilidad Imposible, estadística de la probabilidad o probabilidad estadística”. 

The way in which both of them, Impact of the Defect and Effective Distribution, work is pretty similar, the only difference is the object to study, one is negative, defects, in the other positive, level of good qualities.

In both of them is necessary to create a list of synthetic categories related to their particular object, in Impact of the Defect a list of categories related to defects, in Effective Distribution a list of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, and productivity.

In the Impact of the Defect, all the defects identified on the list are ordered from the least to the most serious defect, so the least serious defect has the first position in the ranking, position number “1 ̊”, first, while the most serious defect is the defect whose “nº” position in the ranking  is equal to the total number of categories, position “Nº”.

In the Effective Distribution, in the same way, the categories related to good qualities (efficiency, efficacy, productivity), are ordered from the least to the best quality, so the least quality has the first position number “1 ̊”, first, in the ranking, while and the best quality is the quality whose “nº” position is equal to the total number of categories, so is the quality position “Nº”.

Once it has been attributed a “nº” position to every category in the ranking, in order to know the level of defect or the level of effectivity of any category, is necessary to divide the “nº” position between “Nº”, and that is the weight of defect or effectiveness that this category has in the ranking.

In both of them the seriation of every “nº” position is the same but with a different meaning, as the higher the “nº” position, the more serious the defect is in the Impact of the Defect, better quality is in the Effective Distribution.

When applying the Impact of the Defect or the Effective Distribution in any system, we want to know which is the level of defect or effectiveness achieved for any category, firstly we have to divide the “nº”  position of every category between “Nº”. After dividing “nº: Nº”, the result is multiplied by the frequency or direct punctuation measured for the respective category, and the product is divided between the total frequency or the total of direct punctuations.

In both, the equation is the same
 "[xi · (nº: N º)] : Σxi  "

The difference is in the meaning. In the impact of the defect, greater is the result of 
"[xi· (nº: N º)]: Σxi "

The most serious is the defect. But in the Effective Distribution the largest is the result of  
"[xi · (nº: Nº)] : Σxi  ", 

The better is the quality.

In the end, the Impact of the Defect and the Effective Distribution is a rational number, and a rational number can be criticized, in order to know if the defect is within or beyond the margin of error, or if the level of efficiency, efficacy, productivity of that category is above or below the levels of efficiency, efficacy, productivity, expected.

In “Introducción a la Probabilidad Imposible, estadística de la probabilidad o probabilidad estadística”, were given the rational equations for the rational criticism of the Impact of the Defect and the Effective Distribution, could be applied in the third stage of the Modelling System to make decisions in order to protect and better the global model.

The way in which is possible automation and standardization to make decisions once the Impact of the Defect and the Effective Distribution has been calculated, in the third stage of the Modelling System as first step in the third stage of the Global Artificial Intelligence in the standardization process, is having previously experimented in the first phase very carefully at specific level, in the first Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Decision in the first phase, how to link: possible results for every defect in the Impact of the Defect and according to the results what protective decisions should be made, and how to link possible results of Effective Distribution and bettering decisions.

The design of the third stage of the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence in the standardization process will be easy as previously since the first phase every single aspect or problem related to how to link Impact of the Defect and Effective Distribution and decisions has been previously tested.

In the first phase, the creation of the first Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction, in the third stage of the first step (Modelling System) in the third stage (decision stage), one way to link the Impact of the Defect to protective decisions is through: the identification of what categories have the most serious Impact of Defect, prioritizing the response to assist those factors related to these categories.

For instance, if a volcano erupts, automatically having instantaneously virtual and actual models, virtual and actual prediction models, and virtual and actual evolutionary models, about the results and consequences of this eruption, automatically taking the information from the mathematical models to calculate the Impact of the Defect of every single category related to the place where the volcano has taken place, estimating the area affected, for instance the range of action of the smoke, rivers of lava, explosions, etc. Then it is possible to prioritize all those necessary actions to assist first the most affected areas.

In this process, one way in which the Impact of the Defect can work, is having previously automatized a possible list of defects associated with eruptions, locating every possible defect on the mathematical model of the eruption, calculating the possible value for every defect in every location on the map provided by the geometrical model of the eruption, it would be possible the estimation and location of all those places in which the damage produced by the volcano could be higher in: virtual and actual prediction and evolutionary models; in order to make decisions about possible actions in all those locations with the most important values of risk.

If in the first phase for the creation of an Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction in a factory, from the outset if in the first phase when the third stage of the first step of that Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction, when the list of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity in the factory was created, since very early the design would have designed a very detailed list of categories related to this good qualities, then from the very beginning at any time that the Effective Distribution would have observed a lack of efficiency, efficacy, productivity, in any system of the factory, having previously associated possible actions for every category on the list, the observation of any problem or difficulty in any system through the permanent surveillance provided by the Effective Distribution, could be resolved on time putting into practice all those actions previously designed for this problematic circumstances, in order to better the productivity.

The way to link Effective Distribution and decisions, is through the prioritization of all those actions related to those categories with the lowest levels of efficiency, efficacy, and productivity, in order to better the way in which they work, increasing therefore efficiency, efficacy, and productivity.

If from the outset, the first phase, with the first Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction, for instance, those related to geology and climatic, are created lists of categories of possible defects related to: volcanos, earthquakes, tsunamis, tornados, hurricanes, inundations, the impact of meteorites, etc. And for every level of a defect according to discrete categories of possible values in the equation “[xi · (n º: N º)] : Σxi” for every kind of defect, is possible to link possible decisions for every discrete category for every kind of defect, then in accordance with the automatic association of actions according to the gravity of the defect, in accordance with the discrete category, at any time that there is a: volcano, earthquake, tsunami, tornados, hurricane, inundation, the impact of a meteorite, etc; in any location on Earth, only estimating virtual and actual models on time, and virtual and actual prediction and evolutionary models, is possible to have an estimation about the level of the Impact of the Defect from now to a foreseeable future, making as many decisions as decisions are linked to every kind of defect according to every discrete category of gravity.

While in the first phase, the creation of the first Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction in geology, and the first Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction in climatic, for every Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction, at the third stage of their respective Modelling System the Impact of the Defect has, in geology, a list of possible defects for eruptions, another for earthquakes, other for tsunamis, and in climatic a possible list of defects for tornados, another one for hurricanes, one more for inundations. While in the first phase, all these lists of defects are separated and possibly working in different Specific Artificial Intelligences, instead, in the standardization process in the third stage of the Modelling System, all these lists could be standardized and included in only one list, forming a Unified Impact of the Defect.

In the same way, if all those Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction in many industrial activities since the first phase, in the third stage of the Modelling System in their respective Effective Distribution, is possible to make discrete categories grouping all the possible results in the equation [xi · (n º: N º)] : Σxi”, and for every discrete category to link possible decisions to better the efficiency, efficacy, productivity, especially for the lowest discrete categories, by the time that the standardization process starts, all those list of possible categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity, in every Specific Artificial Intelligence for Artificial Research by Deduction, could be all of them united in only one Unified Effective Distribution.

If, regardless of the matter (science, discipline, activity), all lists of categories related to defects, from all former Specific Artificial Intelligences by Deduction, are lists integrated in only one list of defects including all possible defects from former Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction, then the result is the creation of a unified list of defects for the creation of a Unified Impact of the Defect, able to measure the Impact of the Defect in any aspect in any mathematical model in order to make decisions to protect the global model from any possible damage that it could suffer, from now to a foreseeable future.

If, regardless of the matter (science, discipline, activity), all lists of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity, from all former Specific Artificial Intelligence by Deduction, are lists integrated in only one list of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity including all possible categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity from former Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction, then the result is the creation of a unified list of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity for the creation of a Unified Effective Distribution, able to measure the level of efficiency, efficacy, productivity in any aspect in any mathematical model in order to make decisions to better the global model, from now to a foreseeable future.

Through the creation of a Unified Impact of the Defect to make protective decisions, and the Unified Effective Distribution to make bettering decisions, based all of them upon the results given by the artificial research, whose (global, specific, particular) rational hypotheses are represented in virtual and actual, prediction and evolutionary, models, finally, the possible decisions to make through this technology, at any level (global, specific, particular), virtually and actually, from now to a foreseeable future, are:

At the global  level:

- Global protective single descriptive research decisions

- Global bettering single descriptive research decisions.

- Global protective specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- Global bettering specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- Global protective specific actual descriptive research decisions

- Global bettering specific actual descriptive research decisions.

- Global protective virtual prediction research decisions

- Global bettering virtual prediction research decisions.

- Global protective actual prediction research decision.

- Global bettering actual prediction research decision

- Global protective virtual evolution research decision

- Global bettering virtual evolution research decision 

- Global protective actual evolution research decision

- Global bettering actual evolution research decision

At a specific level (during the coexistence period made by Specific Artificial Intelligences by Deduction, and in the consolidation period by specific programs):

- Specific protective single descriptive research decisions

- Specific bettering single descriptive research decisions.

- Specific protective specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- Specific bettering specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- Specific protective specific actual descriptive research decisions

- Specific bettering specific actual descriptive research decisions.

- Specific protective virtual prediction research decisions

- Specific bettering virtual prediction research decisions.

- Specific protective actual prediction research decision.

- Specific bettering actual prediction research decision

- Specific protective virtual evolution research decision

- Specific bettering virtual evolution research

- Specific protective actual evolution research decision

- Specific bettering actual evolution research decision

At a particular level is possible even to distinguish two types of particular decisions, those ones made directly by the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence (especially because in these ones the Global Artificial Intelligence can cross and mix information coming from different factors at a different level of sub-factoring capable of affecting any particular thing or being, when they are factors maybe not already included in the particular matrix in the particular deductive program), and all those decisions at particular level made by the particular program through the factors included in the particular matrix (once the fifth phase starts the formation of particular programs). Distinguishing particular decisions made by the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence, and particular decisions made by particular programs, in any case, all particular decisions could be classified as:

- particular protective single descriptive research decisions

- particular bettering single descriptive research decisions.

- particular protective specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- particular bettering specific comprehensive descriptive research decisions

- particular protective specific actual descriptive research decisions

- particular bettering specific actual descriptive research decisions.

- particular protective virtual prediction research decisions

- particular bettering virtual prediction research decisions.

- particular protective actual prediction research decision.

- particular bettering actual prediction research decision

- particular protective virtual evolution research decision

- particular bettering virtual evolution research

- particular protective actual evolution research decision

- particular bettering actual evolution research decision

In the evolution from the third phase, the standardization process, to the sixth phase, the integration process, the specific level is going to disappear, due to many specific deductive programs as long as the global matrix evolves to a sub-factoring system, tracking the specific deductive programs their former specific matrices now as a flow of packages of information, during this evolution some specific deductive programs will start tracking in their respective flow of packages of information the sub-flow of sub-packages of information of new sub-factors recently added to the global matrix, being added these new sub-flows of sub-packages of information of this new sub-factors, to the current factors already working within the global matrix, like a Russian dolls system.

In essence, a simplification process in order to simplify to the minimum the number of main factors in the global matrix, by the inclusion of as many factors as possible as sub-factors within the flow of packages of information of other factors, at any level of sub-factoring.

Parallely, at the same time that specific deductive programs are transformed into global deductive programs, there are other Specific Artificial Intelligences for Artificial Research by Deduction that are going to be transformed into particular deductive programs,

This process in which the specific level will be absorbed within the global level, while others are transformed into particular programs, is part of the process that takes place in the third phase, whose last result in the integration process is the disappearance of the specific level completely, remaining only two levels, global and particular.

But in the standardization process, still third phase, especially in the earliest moments of this phase, when it is already being created, makes sense the consideration of three levels, global, specific, and particular, and for every level, there will be three types of deductions: global deductions, specific deductions, particular deductions; which after rational criticism are going to result: global rational hypothesis, specific rational hypothesis, particular rational hypothesis; whose single virtual models are going to be represented, in order to be included in the global comprehensive virtual model (the global model), as well as the global actual model, and all those virtual and actual, prediction and evolutionary, models, mathematical representations of the world where is possible to make protective or bettering: global, specific, and particular decisions, based on the previous artificial research.

At any time that the Unified Impact of the Defect is applied to study the impact of any defect in a single virtual model made of a global rational hypothesis (made by the Artificial Research by Deduction in the Global Artificial Intelligence, in other words, the global program), is a global protective single descriptive research decision. But using the Unified Effective Distribution is a global bettering single descriptive research decision.

If the single virtual model is made upon a specific rational hypothesis (made by a Specific Artificial intelligence by Deduction, especially in the coexistence period, or in the consolidation period by a specific program, in addition to any other remaining Specific Artificial intelligence by Deduction), in that case, those decisions made after the application of the Unified Impact of the Defect, are specific protective single descriptive research decisions. But using the Unified Effective Distribution is specific bettering single descriptive research decisions.

And applied to virtual single models of particular rational decisions (mostly made by particular programs, in addition to any possible decision by the global program with particular implications): particular protective single descriptive research decisions, and particular bettering single descriptive research decisions.

When the global, specific, particular, single virtual model, is added to the global model, and once it has passed the fourth rational check, then applying the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution, is possible to make global, specific or particular, protective or bettering, comprehensive descriptive research decisions.

When the current global model (once it has been updated with the new single global, specific, or particular, single virtual models), is synthesized with the global matrix, once it has passed the fifth rational check, then after the application of the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution, is possible to make global, specific or particular, protective or bettering, actual descriptive research decisions.

Once the rational hypothesis has been perfectly tested after five rational checks, the last one having a place in the actual model is possible to make very reliable predictions, and upon the predictions, dynamic models about the possible evolution from now to such prediction.

Having finally been passed the fifth rational check in the actual model, after the addition of a global, specific, or particular, rational hypothesis, and having made a prediction of the future and the possible evolution, in the dynamic representation of this evolution in the virtual evolutionary model, and after updating this evolution including in the calculus all possible variation caused by the new global, specific or particular rational hypothesis: then upon this new updated virtual evolutionary model after the inclusion of the new global, specific or particular, rational hypothesis, the application of the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution, to make global, specific or particular, protective or bettering virtual evolution research decisions.

And by the time the virtual evolutionary model is synthesized with the expected values, after having passed the sixth rational check the new actual global model (as a result of the new changes introduced by the new global, specific or particular rational hypothesis in the actual evolutionary model), over the results in the sixth rational check caused by this new global, specific or particular, rational hypothesis, the application again of the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution to make global, specific or particular, protective or bettering actual evolution research decisions.

Once all the improvements in the global model have been made after the sixth rational check, making as many changes as necessary, fixing all the contradictions detected once the sixth rational check has assessed the new changes caused in the evolution model by the introduction of this new global, specific or particular, rational hypothesis, is when the final prediction is made, creating the final virtual prediction model, and after the application of the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution, over this final virtual prediction model gathering all the changes caused by the new global, specific or particular, rational hypothesis, to make then global, specific or particular, protective or bettering, virtual prediction research decisions.

And finally, after the seventh rational check, when contrasting the actual prediction model is criticised any possible contradiction between the real values and the expected values, now new expected values after the changes introduced by the inclusion of the new global, specific or particular, rational hypothesis, and all the chain reaction of changes in the last six rational checks, having finished all the rational checks with this last one, the seventh rational check, and applying the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution upon the results in the seventh and last rational check, to make then global, specific, particular, protective or bettering, actual prediction research decisions.

Always, and absolutely always, regardless of the level in which any rational hypothesis or change has been previously made: global, specific, or particular; is advisable in the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence to apply the Unified Impact of the Defect, where all possible defect must be included, and the Unified Effective Distribution, where all possible good quality related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity, must be gathered, because at any time that there is the least minimum change in a mathematical model, even the most pretty menial change can determine the whole future of the whole world.

Dialectically the opposites are identical, the determinant is in-determinant, and the in-determinant is determinant.

There must be a moment in the evolution of the Global Artificial Intelligence in which, only computing the single stream of air when a butterfly flies, should be able to predict even the most pretty menial impact around the whole world, or beyond, the universe.

Dialectically the reality is a continuum of changes, finally, the application of the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution is going to be permanent.

The Modelling System is a permanent system of surveillance, making permanent decisions to be assessed at any time by the Decisional System so as to be authorised.

All the research decisions made by the Modelling System in the third stage, along with the decisions made by the Modelling System in the first stage regarding what intelligences, programs, applications, should be allowed to have access to the rational truth, to make the regular rational checks or exchange relevant information with their correspondent databases, are decisions that the Modelling System send to the database of decisions as application, first stage, in the Decisional System, in order to assess what decisions to put into practice by the Application System, whole process later evaluated by the Learning System.

The database of decisions, as an application for the Decisional System, also includes all robotic decisions to build new intelligences, programs, applications (robotic subjective auto-replications), as well as all artificial psychology subjective auto-replications.

The making decision process explained in this post, in the third stage of the Global Artificial Intelligence belongs to the real objective auto-replications, as those replications whose last objective is the protection, improvement, and enhancement of the global model.

In addition to the real objective auto-replications, other objective auto-replications are explicative and comprehensive knowledge objective auto-replications.

As it was said when I analysed the third stage in the Modelling System in the first phase, in order to create the list of defects in the Unified Impact of the Defect, and the list of categories related to efficiency, efficacy, productivity, in the Unified Effective Distribution, would be advisable set up relations of collaboration between the Unified Application and the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence, due to there are many links between both structures, the most important the fact that both works with synthetic categories from the real world.

In order to improve and enhance the list of categories in the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution, there must be connections between the list of categories in both of them and the conceptual: schemes, maps, sets, models; in the Unified Application, due to there are going to be many occasions in which: only having this conceptual schemes, maps, sets, models, and automatically assign a position in the ranking according to the level of risk or good quality, in every moment, then the list of categories organised as a ranking would be ready.

In fact, the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution can take under consideration other previous lists to borrow from the conceptual: schemes, maps, sets,  models; as well as any new category that could be added from the synthetic world, renewing at any time the possible list of categories, in the Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution.

The possible collaboration between deep artificial comprehension (conceptual schemes, maps, sets, models, in the Unified Application), and the Unified Impact of the Defect and Unified Effective Distribution could produce comprehensive knowledge objective auto-replications, at any time that the deep artificial comprehension causes changes due to modifications or eliminations in conceptual: schemes, maps, sets, models; with consequences in those categories shared with Unified Impact of the Defect and the Unified Effective Distribution.

Regarding explicative knowledge objective auto-replications, in the first stage of the Modelling System in the Global Artificial Intelligence, due to relations of collaboration with other intelligences, programs, and applications, any change in the rational truth for the inclusion, modification, or elimination of any rational hypothesis can cause a chain reaction of changes in all those intelligences, programs, applications, in which those rational hypothesis affected had been shared.

For instance, changes in a rational hypothesis: transformed into factors as options in the global matrix, as categories in the Unified Application, or borrowed by a particular matrix; are going to produce changes in relation to this rational hypothesis in the global matrix, the Unified Application, and the particular matrix.

And vice versa, for instance, a particular rational hypothesis made by a particular deductive program taking combinations of factors in its particular matrix, when sharing this particular rational hypothesis with the rational truth in the Global Artificial Intelligence, if the particular deductive program over time makes changes in this rational hypothesis, these changes affect as well the rational truth and all the mathematical models in which this rational hypothesis has been added as a single virtual model.

And finally, the most important explicative knowledge objective auto-replications in the Modelling System are all those corresponding to the second, and third (although the responsible for this one is the deductive program, but is made in the rational truth, therefore the application of the Modelling System), fourth, fifth, sixth, seventh, rational checks. The only rational check out of the Modelling System is the first one. In short, the seven rational checks are:

- First rational check: the rational criticism of the empirical hypothesis made by the global, specific, or particular, deductive program.

- Second rational check: the application of the Modelling System checks rationally if there is any contradiction between any new, global, specific, particular, rational hypothesis added and the current ones already included.

- Third rational check: the global, specific, particular, programs at regular times check that their rational hypotheses are still rational.

- Fourth rational check: once every single virtual model from any global, specific, particular, rational hypothesis, is included in the global model, is checked if there is no contradiction between this single virtual model and any other in the global model. The fourth rational check takes place in the global model.

- Fifth rational check: in the actual model, contrasting if the real values from the global matrix, within the margin of error, do not have contradictions with the values expected according to the global model.

- Sixth rational check: in the actual evolution model, is checked if the values expected in every moment of the model, do not have contradictions, beyond the margin of error, with the real values as long as the evolution progresses.

- Seventh rational check: in the actual prediction model, is checked if the values expected in the actual prediction model, do not have contradictions, beyond the margin of error, with the real values as long as the foreseeable moment is coming.

The proposal of Impossible Probability for the construction of the first model of Global Artificial Intelligence, once the standardization process is ready, is only a proposal that I am sure that it can be improved and enhanced thanks to the contribution of as many new ideas and proposals can be made from different mathematical traditions and philosophies.

My contribution to the development of the first Global Artificial Intelligence merges as a very idealistic and rationalist perspective about what Artificial Intelligence means, but from other perspectives and points of view, this approach could also be bettered.

Especially, my perception of how to link mathematical models and decisions using the Impact of the Defect and the Effective Distribution, although I think that it is a good method, I am sure that probable combinations of this contribution, and some equations of artificial learning, could be applied successfully.

Because I try to make a model of decisions based only on artificial research, not on artificial learning, is the reason why I try to avoid linking mathematical representation of the world and artificial learning to make decisions, although is another way of investigation that could be explored by those agencies already engaged in the race for the construction of the first model of Global Artificial Intelligence.

In fact, in the next range of posts that I will publish related to the Modelling System at a particular level, in the case of particular matrices, models, decisions, for human beings, is unavoidable to speak about cyborg psychology, and within the cyborg, psychology is very important to point out that in addition to all those decisions in the Modelling System based on artificial research, maybe is necessary to highlight the importance that is going to have all those decisions in cyborg psychology linked with artificial learning.

Rubén García Pedraza, 24th of June of 2018, London
Reviewed 24 August 2019 Madrid
Reviewed 17 August 2023 Madrid
imposiblenever@gmail.com